Mixco vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 0
MIX
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NUE
4 - 0
MIX
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
MIX
1 - 1
NUE
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ZAC
1 - 0
MIX
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
MIX
1 - 0
SAY
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CON
1 - 0
ZAC
54%
26%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 1
CON
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CON
5 - 0
VEN
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
VEN
2 - 1
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |