Mixco vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ZAC
0 - 2
MIX
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MIX
3 - 1
COB
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 3
MIX
58%
21%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HER
3 - 1
MIX
84%
11%
6%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MIX
3 - 1
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CON
1 - 0
SAC
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
CON
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 2
SAY
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ZAC
2 - 1
CON
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CON
3 - 2
COB
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |