Primera Apertura round 4

Mixco vs Coatepeque analysis

Mixco Coatepeque
45 ELO 43
3.4% Tilt -2.1%
2781º General ELO ranking 19073º
Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
52.8%
Mixco
23.1%
Draw
24.1%
Coatepeque

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
Mixco
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.1%
Win probability
Coatepeque
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mixco
-22%
-14%
Coatepeque

ELO progression

Mixco
Coatepeque
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mixco
Mixco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2011
AUR
Aurora FC
1 - 0
Mixco
MIX
41%
27%
33%
45 45 0 0
07 Aug. 2011
LAG
La Gomera
2 - 1
Mixco
MIX
48%
24%
28%
46 45 1 -1
31 Jul. 2011
MIX
Mixco
1 - 2
Puerto San José
PUE
64%
20%
16%
47 41 6 -1
07 May. 2011
MIX
Mixco
2 - 1
Zacapa
ZAC
39%
25%
36%
47 52 5 0
04 May. 2011
ZAC
Zacapa
1 - 0
Mixco
MIX
63%
20%
17%
47 51 4 0

Matches

Coatepeque
Coatepeque
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2011
COA
Coatepeque
3 - 0
La Gomera
LAG
46%
25%
30%
42 46 4 0
07 Aug. 2011
PUE
Puerto San José
3 - 1
Coatepeque
COA
45%
25%
30%
44 42 2 -2
31 Jul. 2011
COA
Coatepeque
2 - 2
Juventud Escuintleca
ESC
51%
24%
25%
44 44 0 0
08 May. 2011
COA
Coatepeque
2 - 0
Deportivo Petapa
DEP
34%
26%
41%
44 53 9 0
05 May. 2011
DEP
Deportivo Petapa
3 - 0
Coatepeque
COA
72%
17%
11%
45 53 8 -1