Mixco vs Chimaltenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
MIX
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MIX
1 - 1
CON
45%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 0
MIX
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
NUE
4 - 0
MIX
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
MIX
1 - 1
NUE
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
ZAC
50%
27%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
DSA
15%
23%
62%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
JUP
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
AGB
2 - 3
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |