Mixco vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 0
MIX
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 0
ACH
32%
25%
44%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MIX
0 - 4
COM
12%
22%
66%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2018 |
COB
1 - 1
MIX
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MIX
0 - 1
COB
14%
24%
61%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
COM
3 - 0
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACH
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
MIX
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |