Mixco vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 0
PAL
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 0
MIX
59%
22%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
MIX
7%
12%
81%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MIX
3 - 1
UNI
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
MIX
58%
22%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 0
CON
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 1
ACH
33%
25%
41%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
AUR
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 0
QUI
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |