Mixco vs Aurora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
MIX
68%
21%
11%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAC
3 - 0
MIX
59%
23%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MIX
0 - 0
DSA
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
MIX
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MIX
2 - 2
DEP
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 2
SAC
40%
29%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NUE
3 - 1
AUR
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 1
NUE
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 2
DEP
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 1
AUR
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |