Mistelbach vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mistelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 2
MIS
32%
25%
43%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
MIS
2 - 2
ASV
33%
25%
42%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SVH
1 - 1
MIS
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
MIS
0 - 3
SCR
20%
23%
58%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
GOT
3 - 2
MIS
49%
24%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 4
GAF
16%
21%
63%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
KOT
2 - 0
SCO
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 1
KRE
16%
20%
64%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LEO
2 - 0
SCO
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SCH
3 - 0
SCO
37%
25%
38%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |