Mirassol vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
1 - 4
MIR
15%
20%
66%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 2
UNI
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
MIR
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 0
SAO
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
MIR
21%
24%
56%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VOT
3 - 1
PEN
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 0
GUA
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEN
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
PEN
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |