Série D Brazil Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 5-0
Mirassol FC vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
APA
2 - 3
MIR
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 1
APA
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
MIR
32%
29%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MIR
4 - 0
BRA
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MIR
1 - 0
CAX
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ALT
5 - 1
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALT
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 0
ALT
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ALT
1 - 1
SAL
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 0
GLO
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |