Mirasol-Baco vs Juan XXIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mirasol-Baco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
MIR
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MIR
3 - 2
MON
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BAN
3 - 2
MIR
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 4
CDE
23%
20%
57%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 5
MIR
35%
22%
43%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Juan XXIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 2
JUA
46%
21%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
JUA
2 - 1
CAS
22%
20%
58%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
3 - 0
JUA
45%
21%
34%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 2
BAN
58%
19%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CDE
5 - 1
JUA
77%
13%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |