Miramar vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
56.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
7º
31
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MIR
5 - 1
WAF
95%
4%
1%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WKA
1 - 2
MIR
42%
21%
38%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 3
PET
81%
11%
8%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 0
WSU
70%
15%
15%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 3
NAP
67%
16%
18%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
WSU
1 - 2
WEL
15%
16%
69%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 4
NAP
81%
12%
8%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STO
3 - 3
WEL
8%
13%
79%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 3
NWA
94%
5%
2%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 2
WEL
68%
18%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |