Miramar vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18%
21.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NWA
0 - 6
MIR
10%
14%
76%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
1 - 1
PET
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
3 - 2
WSU
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
IBU
0 - 2
MIR
9%
13%
78%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MIR
4 - 0
WEL
30%
20%
50%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 6
NAP
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 0
STO
74%
14%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WKA
1 - 5
NAP
46%
20%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 3
WEL
6%
12%
82%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | -1 |