Miramar vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
MIR
5 - 0
MET
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
NAP
2 - 2
MIR
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
WAI
2 - 3
MIR
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
MIR
3 - 0
TCU
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
MIR
1 - 1
CEN
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
DUN
8 - 1
NAP
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CEN
7 - 0
DUN
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CHR
3 - 2
DUN
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 4
MTW
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
MET
2 - 3
DUN
35%
25%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |