Segunda Uruguay - Clausura Quarter-finals
Miramar Misiones vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miramar Misiones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
SUD
3 - 2
CSM
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CSM
2 - 3
REN
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 0
CSM
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BOS
0 - 1
CSM
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CSM
1 - 0
ETS
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
SUD
3 - 2
CSM
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SUD
2 - 3
CSC
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FEN
1 - 0
SUD
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 1
SUD
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 0
DUR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |