1. Lyga Round 11

Minija Kretinga vs Žalgiris II analysis

Minija Kretinga Žalgiris II
47 ELO 41
-7.5% Tilt 9.8%
4138º General ELO ranking 3969º
22º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
46.8%
Minija Kretinga
24.2%
Draw
29%
Žalgiris II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
Minija Kretinga
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29%
Win probability
Žalgiris II
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Minija Kretinga
-10%
+69%
Žalgiris II

Points and table prediction

Minija Kretinga
Their league position
Žalgiris II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
12º
28
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Transinvest Vilnius
70
70
100%
Be1 NFA
56
56
100%
Neptunas Klaipėda
51
51
0%
Nevezis
51
51
100%
FK Babrungas
51
51
0%
Minija Kretinga
51
51
0%
Riteriai II
46
46
100%
Garliava
40
40
100%
Ekranas Panevezys
39
39
100%
BFA
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Marijampolė City
16º
0
35
11º
100%
FK Siauliai 2
11º
33
33
12º
100%
Kauno Žalgiris II
12º
32
32
13º
100%
Panevėžys II
13º
31
31
14º
100%
Žalgiris II
14º
28
28
15º
100%
FK Jonava
15º
15
15
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Minija Kretinga
Žalgiris II
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Minija Kretinga
Žalgiris II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Minija Kretinga
Minija Kretinga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2023
PAN
Panevėžys II
1 - 2
Minija Kretinga
MIN
54%
22%
25%
45 47 2 0
13 May. 2023
MIN
Minija Kretinga
1 - 1
Garliava
GKA
38%
25%
37%
44 46 2 +1
30 Apr. 2023
SIA
FK Siauliai 2
0 - 1
Minija Kretinga
MIN
45%
24%
31%
43 45 2 +1
25 Apr. 2023
MIN
Minija Kretinga
0 - 2
Be1 NFA
BEN
18%
20%
61%
44 56 12 -1
21 Apr. 2023
FKK
Kauno Žalgiris II
5 - 0
Minija Kretinga
MIN
21%
22%
57%
46 35 11 -2

Matches

Žalgiris II
Žalgiris II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2023
ZAL
Žalgiris II
0 - 3
Riteriai II
TRA
50%
23%
27%
44 44 0 0
13 May. 2023
FKT
Transinvest Vilnius
3 - 0
Žalgiris II
ZAL
38%
24%
39%
45 44 1 -1
01 May. 2023
ZAL
Žalgiris II
1 - 3
FK Jonava
LIE
62%
20%
18%
46 40 6 -1
21 Apr. 2023
NEP
Neptunas Klaipėda
2 - 0
Žalgiris II
ZAL
61%
21%
18%
47 57 10 -1
14 Apr. 2023
ZAL
Žalgiris II
1 - 4
Nevezis
NEV
33%
25%
43%
48 53 5 -1