Championship Round 5

Millwall vs Crystal Palace analysis

Millwall Crystal Palace
70 ELO 71
0.3% Tilt -6.7%
858º General ELO ranking 52º
32º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.3%
Millwall
25%
Draw
29.7%
Crystal Palace

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
Millwall
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.7%
Win probability
Crystal Palace
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Millwall
+8%
+7%
Crystal Palace

ELO progression

Millwall
Crystal Palace
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Millwall
Millwall
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2003
STO
Stoke City
0 - 0
Millwall
MIL
41%
27%
32%
70 66 4 0
23 Aug. 2003
MIL
Millwall
1 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
50%
25%
26%
70 69 1 0
16 Aug. 2003
SUN
Sunderland
0 - 1
Millwall
MIL
51%
26%
23%
69 74 5 +1
12 Aug. 2003
MIL
Millwall
0 - 1
Oxford United
OXF
65%
20%
15%
70 60 10 -1
09 Aug. 2003
MIL
Millwall
2 - 0
Wigan Athletic
WIG
49%
26%
25%
69 73 4 +1

Matches

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2003
CRY
Crystal Palace
1 - 2
Sheffield United
SHE
40%
28%
33%
71 76 5 0
23 Aug. 2003
WIM
Wimbledon FC
1 - 3
Crystal Palace
CRY
46%
25%
29%
71 69 2 0
16 Aug. 2003
CRY
Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Watford
WAT
53%
25%
23%
70 67 3 +1
12 Aug. 2003
GUL
Torquay United
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
27%
24%
49%
70 56 14 0
09 Aug. 2003
BUR
Burnley
2 - 3
Crystal Palace
CRY
46%
24%
30%
70 65 5 0