EFL Cup 1/64

Millwall vs AFC Wimbledon analysis

Millwall AFC Wimbledon
66 ELO 51
-9.3% Tilt -9%
794º General ELO ranking 1828º
44º Country ELO ranking 65º
ELO win probability
64.5%
Millwall
20.7%
Draw
14.7%
AFC Wimbledon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
Millwall
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.7%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Millwall
AFC Wimbledon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Millwall
Millwall
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2013
MIL
Millwall
0 - 1
Yeovil Town
YEO
49%
26%
26%
66 63 3 0
27 Jul. 2013
MIL
Millwall
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
23%
24%
53%
67 80 13 -1
04 May. 2013
DER
Derby County
1 - 0
Millwall
MIL
51%
25%
24%
68 66 2 -1
30 Apr. 2013
MIL
Millwall
0 - 0
Crystal Palace
CRY
45%
27%
28%
68 68 0 0
27 Apr. 2013
MIL
Millwall
0 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
48%
27%
25%
68 67 1 0

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2013
GUL
Torquay United
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
47%
25%
28%
52 51 1 0
17 Jul. 2013
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Charlton Athletic
CHA
21%
24%
55%
51 70 19 +1
27 Apr. 2013
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
2 - 1
Fleetwood Town
FLE
45%
25%
30%
50 53 3 +1
20 Apr. 2013
GIL
Gillingham
2 - 2
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
65%
21%
14%
50 60 10 0
13 Apr. 2013
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
2 - 2
Exeter City
EXE
42%
25%
33%
50 54 4 0
X