Milan vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 3
ACM
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 0
JUV
41%
27%
33%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
AND
1 - 3
ACM
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 2
ACM
45%
25%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 3
FIO
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 4
ZEN
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
ZEN
1 - 1
CSK
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
ZEN
2 - 2
MAL
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DIN
3 - 0
ZEN
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VNN
1 - 2
ZEN
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |