Serie A Round 16

Milan vs Salernitana analysis

Milan Salernitana
90 ELO 71
0.7% Tilt -3.2%
10º General ELO ranking 410º
Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
77.7%
Milan
15.3%
Draw
7%
Salernitana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
Milan
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7%
Win probability
Salernitana
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Milan
-2%
-4%
Salernitana

ELO progression

Milan
Salernitana
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Milan
Milan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2021
GEN
Genoa
0 - 3
Milan
ACM
20%
23%
57%
89 78 11 0
28 Nov. 2021
ACM
Milan
1 - 3
Sassuolo
SAS
65%
20%
15%
90 83 7 -1
24 Nov. 2021
ATM
Atlético
0 - 1
Milan
ACM
48%
26%
26%
89 91 2 +1
20 Nov. 2021
FIO
Fiorentina
4 - 3
Milan
ACM
28%
25%
48%
89 83 6 0
07 Nov. 2021
ACM
Milan
1 - 1
Inter
INT
37%
26%
38%
90 91 1 -1

Matches

Salernitana
Salernitana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2021
SAL
Salernitana
0 - 2
Juventus
JUV
10%
19%
71%
71 91 20 0
26 Nov. 2021
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 1
Salernitana
SAL
57%
24%
19%
71 75 4 0
21 Nov. 2021
SAL
Salernitana
0 - 2
Sampdoria
SAM
30%
26%
45%
72 80 8 -1
07 Nov. 2021
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 0
Salernitana
SAL
83%
12%
5%
72 86 14 0
31 Oct. 2021
SAL
Salernitana
0 - 1
Napoli
NAP
13%
21%
66%
72 90 18 0