Milan vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1956 |
BOL
2 - 1
ACM
37%
22%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
ACM
3 - 1
TOR
83%
11%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACM
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
ACM
4 - 2
NOV
84%
11%
6%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
JUV
0 - 0
ACM
39%
22%
39%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1956 |
FIO
4 - 1
LAZ
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
LAZ
2 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
PRO
1 - 2
LAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
LAZ
2 - 0
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
NOV
6 - 2
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |