Milan vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
BET
1 - 1
ACM
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 1
ACM
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ACM
2 - 1
GEN
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ACM
3 - 2
SAM
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
ACM
1 - 2
BET
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 2
MUD
62%
22%
16%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
3 - 1
CAG
85%
12%
3%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
EMP
1 - 2
JUV
11%
20%
69%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
MUD
0 - 1
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 1
GEN
84%
13%
4%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |