Milan vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
ACM
4 - 0
BOL
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1999 |
ACM
2 - 1
GAL
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 1
ACM
26%
27%
47%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
CHL
0 - 0
ACM
46%
26%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ACM
3 - 1
PRG
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
UNT
1 - 1
HER
26%
27%
48%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1999 |
HER
2 - 1
CHL
39%
27%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
HER
0 - 0
LEV
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
GAL
2 - 2
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
HSV
5 - 1
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |