Milan vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACM
14%
27%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
ACM
1 - 0
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACM
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
31%
28%
41%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
ACM
2 - 0
VER
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
INT
2 - 0
VAR
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 0
VIC
43%
30%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
FIO
1 - 0
VAR
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 2
CAG
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1971 |
SAM
2 - 0
VAR
54%
27%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |