Milan vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ACM
1 - 1
EMP
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 1
ACM
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ACM
3 - 1
PAR
68%
20%
13%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
ACM
0 - 1
LAZ
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ACM
34%
25%
41%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CES
2 - 2
JUV
14%
24%
63%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
EMP
2 - 0
CES
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CES
2 - 1
LAZ
20%
25%
55%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 2
CES
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CES
2 - 3
TOR
26%
28%
47%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |