Lega Primavera U19 Round 16

Milan U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis

Milan U19 Cesena U19
31 ELO 24
21.6% Tilt 25.3%
8123º General ELO ranking 28338º
310º Country ELO ranking 1029º
ELO win probability
75.7%
Milan U19
14.7%
Draw
9.7%
Cesena U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
Milan U19
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.7%
Win probability
Cesena U19
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Milan U19
-26%
+7%
Cesena U19

ELO progression

Milan U19
Cesena U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Milan U19
Milan U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2016
MIL
Milan U19
4 - 1
Como U19
COM
66%
17%
17%
30 28 2 0
16 Jan. 2016
UDI
Udinese U19
0 - 1
Milan U19
MIL
40%
23%
38%
29 28 1 +1
09 Jan. 2016
MIL
Milan U19
3 - 4
Fiorentina U19
FIO
27%
22%
50%
30 44 14 -1
19 Dec. 2015
MIL
Milan U19
3 - 2
Cagliari U19
CAG
49%
22%
29%
29 31 2 +1
13 Dec. 2015
INT
Inter U19
2 - 0
Milan U19
MIL
59%
21%
21%
30 38 8 -1

Matches

Cesena U19
Cesena U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2016
CES
Cesena U19
0 - 1
Hellas Verona U19
VER
45%
26%
29%
25 25 0 0
16 Jan. 2016
VIC
Vicenza U19
0 - 0
Cesena U19
CES
23%
24%
53%
25 19 6 0
19 Dec. 2015
CES
Cesena U19
0 - 2
Atalanta U19
ATA
26%
25%
49%
27 35 8 -2
12 Dec. 2015
CHI
Chievo Verona U19
4 - 0
Cesena U19
CES
63%
21%
16%
28 36 8 -1
05 Dec. 2015
CES
Cesena U19
0 - 1
Como U19
COM
43%
23%
34%
28 29 1 0