Mika vs Lori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
ULI
0 - 0
MIK
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2000 |
ARA
3 - 0
MIK
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
MIK
0 - 3
SHI
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2000 |
KIL
3 - 2
MIK
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
MIK
2 - 0
GAN
69%
19%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
LVA
0 - 3
SHI
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
ARA
8 - 0
LVA
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
SHI
10 - 0
LVA
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
PYU
10 - 0
LVA
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1997 |
LVA
0 - 5
PYU
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -2 |