Copa Peru Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Miguel Grau vs Carlos Stein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
86.4%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.4%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.7%
0-5
6.1%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
AGP
1 - 1
FCS
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FCS
1 - 2
AGP
48%
23%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |