Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
SIF
1 - 1
MID
25%
25%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MID
3 - 0
RAN
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
OBK
0 - 1
MID
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
MID
2 - 3
AAB
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
ESB
0 - 1
MID
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
AGF
3 - 0
AAB
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AGF
2 - 1
SON
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
RAN
1 - 0
AGF
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FCK
0 - 0
AGF
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AGF
0 - 0
ACH
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |