Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCK
0 - 0
MID
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
MID
4 - 1
ACH
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MID
1 - 2
LYN
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
DZG
0 - 1
MID
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
DZG
1 - 1
MID
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AGF
1 - 3
ACH
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BIF
0 - 0
AGF
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AGF
1 - 1
FCN
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FCK
0 - 0
AGF
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AAB
0 - 2
AGF
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |