Midtjylland vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
8º
1º
21
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
UES
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCN
2 - 2
MID
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
UES
0 - 3
MID
11%
18%
70%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 1
MID
30%
25%
46%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
MID
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
AAB
2 - 1
SIF
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FCN
3 - 0
AAB
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AAB
1 - 4
VFF
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
OBK
1 - 3
AAB
33%
23%
44%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 1
AAB
15%
19%
66%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |