Midland vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 0
MID
33%
27%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
MID
0 - 0
CAM
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 3
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MID
1 - 0
CCO
51%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
DOC
2 - 0
MID
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
LUJ
1 - 0
STM
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LAF
2 - 3
LUJ
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LUJ
0 - 0
LAM
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
LUJ
0 - 0
EXC
59%
25%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
LUJ
3 - 0
JJU
39%
28%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |