Middlesbrough U21 vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
MID
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
SCU
2 - 1
MID
78%
16%
6%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
STF
3 - 0
BAR
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
STF
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
STF
2 - 4
NOR
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
STF
0 - 3
SHE
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
WAL
3 - 2
STF
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |