Premier League Sub 18 North Round 24

Middlesbrough U18 vs Nottingham Forest U18 analysis

Middlesbrough U18 Nottingham Forest U18
22 ELO 28
0.1% Tilt 10.4%
11712º General ELO ranking 11191º
464º Country ELO ranking 450º
ELO win probability
29%
Middlesbrough U18
22.2%
Draw
48.8%
Nottingham Forest U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
Middlesbrough U18
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
48.8%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest U18
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Middlesbrough U18
-40%
-53%
Nottingham Forest U18

Points and table prediction

Middlesbrough U18
Their league position
Nottingham Forest U18
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
32
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. Utd U18
62
62
100%
Man. City U18
56
56
100%
Wolves U18
41
41
100%
Derby County U18
37
37
100%
Leeds United U18
33
33
100%
Liverpool U18
32
32
100%
Newcastle U18
32
32
0%
Nottingham Forest U18
32
32
0%
Middlesbrough U18
27
27
100%
Blackburn Rovers U18
10º
27
27
10º
100%
Everton U18
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Stoke City U18
12º
23
23
12º
100%
Sunderland U18
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Middlesbrough U18
Nottingham Forest U18
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Middlesbrough U18
Nottingham Forest U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Middlesbrough U18
Middlesbrough U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2023
MID
Middlesbrough U18
0 - 4
Man. Utd U18
MAN
17%
18%
65%
23 34 11 0
05 May. 2023
DER
Derby County U18
3 - 0
Middlesbrough U18
MID
69%
17%
15%
24 33 9 -1
29 Apr. 2023
MID
Middlesbrough U18
2 - 1
Wolves U18
WOL
55%
22%
23%
23 22 1 +1
21 Apr. 2023
MID
Middlesbrough U18
0 - 2
Man. Utd U18
MAN
23%
20%
57%
24 31 7 -1
18 Apr. 2023
EVE
Everton U18
3 - 0
Middlesbrough U18
MID
52%
21%
27%
25 27 2 -1

Matches

Nottingham Forest U18
Nottingham Forest U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2023
LIV
Liverpool U18
4 - 2
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
56%
20%
24%
29 29 0 0
06 May. 2023
NOT
Nottingham Forest U18
1 - 2
Newcastle U18
NEW
62%
20%
18%
29 22 7 0
29 Apr. 2023
NOT
Nottingham Forest U18
1 - 1
Leeds United U18
LEE
70%
17%
13%
29 19 10 0
15 Apr. 2023
NOT
Nottingham Forest U18
3 - 0
Derby County U18
DER
59%
20%
21%
28 22 6 +1
01 Apr. 2023
NEW
Newcastle U18
3 - 0
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
24%
21%
55%
30 21 9 -2