Premier League Sub 18 North Round 15

Middlesbrough U18 vs Liverpool U18 analysis

Middlesbrough U18 Liverpool U18
19 ELO 22
10.9% Tilt 6.9%
11772º General ELO ranking 10693º
486º Country ELO ranking 456º
ELO win probability
36.6%
Middlesbrough U18
20.6%
Draw
42.8%
Liverpool U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
Middlesbrough U18
1.92
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
42.8%
Win probability
Liverpool U18
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Middlesbrough U18
-36%
-34%
Liverpool U18

Points and table prediction

Middlesbrough U18
Their league position
Liverpool U18
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
10º
19
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City U18
65
65
100%
Man. Utd U18
60
60
100%
Everton U18
46
46
100%
Derby County U18
44
44
100%
Sunderland U18
35
35
0%
Newcastle U18
35
35
0%
Blackburn Rovers U18
32
32
100%
Stoke City U18
27
27
100%
Wolves U18
24
24
0%
Middlesbrough U18
10º
24
24
10º
0%
Liverpool U18
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Nottingham Forest U18
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Leeds United U18
13º
15
15
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Middlesbrough U18
Liverpool U18
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Middlesbrough U18
Liverpool U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Middlesbrough U18
Middlesbrough U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
MCI
Man. City U18
6 - 0
Middlesbrough U18
MID
92%
6%
2%
20 52 32 0
05 Apr. 2025
MID
Middlesbrough U18
4 - 3
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
43%
22%
35%
19 20 1 +1
29 Mar. 2025
MID
Middlesbrough U18
2 - 3
Stoke City U18
STO
37%
23%
40%
19 22 3 0
15 Mar. 2025
BLA
Blackburn Rovers U18
0 - 1
Middlesbrough U18
MID
76%
14%
10%
18 28 10 +1
08 Mar. 2025
MID
Middlesbrough U18
1 - 3
Everton U18
EVE
19%
21%
60%
19 29 10 -1

Matches

Liverpool U18
Liverpool U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2025
LIV
Liverpool U18
0 - 5
Man. City U18
MCI
7%
13%
80%
21 52 31 0
12 Apr. 2025
SUN
Sunderland U18
6 - 1
Liverpool U18
LIV
44%
20%
36%
22 22 0 -1
15 Mar. 2025
WOL
Wolves U18
1 - 2
Liverpool U18
LIV
52%
21%
28%
21 25 4 +1
08 Mar. 2025
LIV
Liverpool U18
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest U18
NOT
55%
20%
25%
21 21 0 0
01 Mar. 2025
LIV
Liverpool U18
1 - 3
Leeds United U18
LEE
63%
17%
19%
22 19 3 -1