Middlesbrough vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
BIR
0 - 0
MID
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
MID
0 - 1
SOU
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1982 |
TOT
1 - 0
MID
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1981 |
MID
0 - 1
IPS
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
COV
1 - 1
MID
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
NOT
0 - 1
SWA
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1982 |
SWA
2 - 0
MUD
30%
27%
44%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1982 |
LEE
2 - 0
SWA
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1981 |
SOU
3 - 1
SWA
76%
15%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1981 |
SWA
2 - 1
ASV
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |