Middlesbrough vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1964 |
LEY
3 - 2
MID
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1964 |
MID
3 - 0
PNE
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1964 |
GRI
3 - 1
MID
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1963 |
DER
2 - 2
MID
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1963 |
MID
3 - 0
DER
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1964 |
SWA
4 - 1
SCU
56%
23%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1964 |
LEY
4 - 0
SWA
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1963 |
CHA
3 - 1
SWA
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1963 |
SWA
1 - 2
CHA
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1963 |
SWA
5 - 1
PNE
44%
25%
32%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |