Middlesbrough vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.8%
Win probability
4.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.5%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.9%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.5%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.3%
2.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1927 |
MID
5 - 0
SOU
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
BAR
1 - 1
MID
33%
24%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
MID
1 - 0
NTT
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
MID
6 - 0
LEY
84%
11%
6%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1927 |
NOT
2 - 2
MID
40%
25%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
DAR
1 - 2
SOU
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
BRA
0 - 1
DAR
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1927 |
NTT
5 - 1
DAR
82%
11%
7%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1927 |
PNE
4 - 1
DAR
89%
7%
4%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1927 |
REA
4 - 2
DAR
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |