FA Cup 1/32

Middlesbrough vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis

Middlesbrough Brighton & Hove Albion
76 ELO 87
-6.1% Tilt 7.6%
623º General ELO ranking 63º
24º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.4%
Middlesbrough
23.4%
Draw
59.1%
Brighton & Hove Albion

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.1%
Win probability
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Middlesbrough
Brighton & Hove Albion
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2023
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 3
Middlesbrough
MID
28%
26%
46%
76 69 7 0
29 Dec. 2022
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
MID
43%
25%
32%
76 75 1 0
26 Dec. 2022
MID
Middlesbrough
4 - 1
Wigan Athletic
WIG
49%
27%
25%
75 70 5 +1
17 Dec. 2022
BUR
Burnley
3 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
61%
23%
17%
75 84 9 0
10 Dec. 2022
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Luton Town
LUT
37%
27%
35%
75 76 1 0

Matches

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 2023
EVE
Everton
1 - 4
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
37%
27%
37%
87 85 2 0
31 Dec. 2022
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 4
Arsenal
ARS
21%
24%
55%
87 92 5 0
26 Dec. 2022
SOU
Southampton
1 - 3
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
40%
26%
34%
87 85 2 0
21 Dec. 2022
CHA
Charlton Athletic
0 - 0
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
10%
22%
68%
87 62 25 0
08 Dec. 2022
ASV
Aston Villa
2 - 2
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
42%
25%
33%
87 86 1 0