Middlesbrough vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
BRA
2 - 2
MID
29%
28%
42%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
STO
1 - 1
MID
34%
29%
38%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
TRA
0 - 2
MID
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
MID
0 - 1
STO
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
MID
2 - 1
CHA
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
CAM
1 - 3
BAR
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
HER
5 - 1
BAR
45%
27%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
BAR
2 - 0
SWA
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
BAR
2 - 1
CHE
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
BAR
3 - 1
NOR
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |