Middlesbrough vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1931 |
EVE
5 - 1
MID
68%
16%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1931 |
MID
4 - 3
SHE
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1931 |
WBA
1 - 1
MID
45%
22%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
MID
0 - 1
OPA
62%
19%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
BBU
4 - 2
MID
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1931 |
ARS
1 - 1
HUR
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1931 |
SHW
1 - 3
ARS
56%
20%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1931 |
ARS
6 - 0
LIV
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1931 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
31%
24%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1931 |
ARS
4 - 1
WHU
74%
15%
11%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |