Mictlán vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
41.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
11º
12º
12º
3
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
6 | 43 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 38 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 33 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 33 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 32 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
4º
|
3 | 32 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 29 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 29 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 29 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 26 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 21 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
0 | 20 |
12º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
19.5% | 74.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
COM
2 - 0
CON
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CON
3 - 0
SAC
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAC
0 - 0
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CON
2 - 0
AUR
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AUR
4 - 3
CON
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
COB
0 - 1
MIX
48%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MUN
4 - 0
MIX
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
MIX
0 - 0
MUN
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
MIX
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
MIX
2 - 1
ANT
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |