Mictlán vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
12º
11º
12
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
9 | 40 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
|
1º
|
12 | 38 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 36 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 33 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 31 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 30 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 30 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 29 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 24 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
2 | 22 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 21 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
23% | 96.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
ANT
2 - 0
CON
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
CHI
0 - 0
CON
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
CON
2 - 2
TOR
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
COM
2 - 0
CON
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CON
3 - 0
SAC
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
MIX
2 - 1
CHI
46%
30%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 2
MIX
43%
28%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
MIX
1 - 0
COM
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
COB
0 - 1
MIX
48%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
MUN
4 - 0
MIX
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |