Mictlán vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 1
CON
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
COM
42%
29%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
HAL
5 - 0
CON
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CON
1 - 2
CHI
42%
28%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RET
1 - 2
HER
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
MUN
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
HER
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
HER
6 - 1
ZAC
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |