Mictlán vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
TOR
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
LEO
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
RET
2 - 1
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CON
0 - 0
CHI
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
COM
2 - 0
HER
54%
23%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
HER
5 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
MUN
1 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
XIN
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |