Mictlán vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
XIN
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MUN
1 - 0
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
RET
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 0
CON
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
HER
2 - 1
VEN
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
HER
3 - 2
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
XIN
0 - 2
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
HER
1 - 2
MUN
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
RET
3 - 1
HER
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |