Mictlán vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
TOR
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
CON
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CON
2 - 0
HAL
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
COM
2 - 4
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
HER
3 - 1
HAL
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LEO
0 - 2
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
RET
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |