Mictlán vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
ACH
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 1
CON
28%
28%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
SAC
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
DEP
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
AUR
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 0
CAR
42%
29%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
3 - 1
DEP
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 1
CFC
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 6
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |