Mictlán vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 1
CON
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CON
5 - 0
TEC
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
DEP
39%
26%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
IZA
0 - 2
CON
19%
22%
58%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CON
3 - 2
SAC
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ACH
4 - 0
IZA
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SAC
3 - 1
ACH
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ACH
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
PET
1 - 2
ACH
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ACH
0 - 0
COB
28%
23%
49%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |