Karviná II vs Krnov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
13º
1º
35
5º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karviná II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 3
MFK
38%
22%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MFK
0 - 0
BIL
67%
17%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
TJU
1 - 1
MFK
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MFK
1 - 0
JIS
63%
18%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
FKP
1 - 0
MFK
31%
22%
48%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Krnov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KRN
1 - 0
BIL
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
KRN
1 - 1
FPR
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 1
KRN
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
KRN
2 - 2
VAL
49%
21%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SOB
1 - 0
KRN
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |