Mezzolara vs Castel San Pietro Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ACC
1 - 1
MEZ
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MEZ
3 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
MEZ
79%
15%
6%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MEZ
2 - 1
PDC
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
PIS
4 - 2
MEZ
76%
17%
7%
|
28 | 65 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CSP
1 - 1
ROS
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RIC
3 - 1
CSP
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CSP
1 - 1
DPC
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
BFM
2 - 0
CSP
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
CSP
3 - 3
BOR
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |